Posted by
TOTA on Thursday, September 18, 2008 12:18:38 AM
If you aren't familiar with
Real Clear Politics polling data, its worth looking at. CBS radio news was reporting today that CBS/NY Times had done a new poll, and that Mr. Obama was now five points ahead of Mr. McCain, as if this were a simple fact.
The only fact here is that the poll grossly over-sampled democrats. Take a look at the 2nd chart, "Generic Congressional Vote". Note that this polling sample was 14 points above the average spread - which is already skewed due to this one poll. Other charts further down the line are also skewed for this polling sample.
Obama probably doesn't take much comfort in polls like this one. Though he likes a pretty picture as much as anyone, with polling, he wants hard and accurate data. So when outside organizations such as CBS conduct polls, he hopes they will call a representative set of Americans. This time they called a bunch of really bitter, angry liberals. Obama already knows what they think, he married one. Yikes.
TOTA