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Name: TOTA
Location: Whittier, CA
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UFOs and energy

Some scientists are pretty sure that the universe is teeming with intelligent life. Others are not so sure. One of the reasons they are doubtful relates directly to energy. Here's how the argument goes:
 
 - All species colonize and spread to the extent of their ability, filling every ecological niche they can. For an extremely advanced intelligent species, we can also expect that they will have an insatiable appetite for mass and energy, if only to build and run faster and better computers.

 - The evidence of such colonization and expansion will be obvious from very far away because these advanced societies will be involved with stellar engineering. This would include relatively simple projects such as "Dyson Spheres", where a massive number of solar energy satellites are built close around a star in order to tap all of its power. More advanced projects would conceivably tap the gravitational energy of star clusters or galaxies. Because of their effects upon stellar emissions and gravity, these projects would produce anomalies which would be evident from very far away. In fact, SETI (Search for Extra-Terrestrial Intelligence) is presently looking for such anomolies.

 - The fact that we see no evidence of such projects supports the idea that intelligent life is probably fairly scarce.

It's an interesting theory, and my hunch is that it's true - we don't see evidence of advanced life because it's not there.
Pessimists would say that we don't see this evidence because intelligent life is short lived, or destroys itself. But intelligent beings with hands or the equivalent have an enormous advantage over all other life forms - they are not hostage to the natural environment. As long as we have access to ice and energy, we can survive in almost any environment, and we're likely to spread into space just as we've spread across the globe. Many humans would survive even the worst conceivable disasters: all out nuclear (and chemical and biological) world war, or an astronomical event such as a gamma ray burster or a nearby super nova. And once we colonize other star systems, it's likely that only a superior intelligence - either The Creator or a more advanced species - could actually exterminate mankind.

So what does all of this have to do with our current situation?
This is the first time since the 1970s that energy has become a significant issue. And this time around, people are considering it in totality. One of the most basic facts that should underlie the entire debate is that our appetite for energy as a species will grow as we advance technologically. And it's likely that the growth will far outstrip our current expectations.
If you'd made the argument about the fundamental importance of energy for advanced technological civilizations several years ago, few people would have objected, they'd have thought it obvious. Now, some resist because the obviousness of the point has been driven home with a ball-peen hammer, and the implications (more drilling, nuclear, coal) upset the world-view of some people. But we're going to need energy if we plan to continue to advance, and that means using what we have. We are not running out of any of the non-renewable sources of energy at present. We simply aren't exploiting them.

In a million years, are we going to be holding up the construction of new Dyson spheres because of lawsuits by radical environmentalists, or stonewalling by radical legislators? One has to think not. If these folks survive as a potent political force, we probably won't be building much of anything in the future, so it would be a moot question.

TOTA



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Time running out for GOP on energy issue

At the moment, the GOP has a virtual monopoly on the energy issue. That won't last long; reports of Democrat lawmakers returning from weekends with constituents don't bode well for the GOP. Some Democrats are getting the message. The GOP must act now if they are going to see this issue save their hides in November. Talk of likely democrat pick-ups in both houses is grossly premature, the uber-issue has yet to be addressed to the satisfaction of voters, much less resolved. This is the GOP's big chance, if they have their wits about them they will seize it.

Specifically, an election contract should be drawn up, in short order. Everyone knows what we need to do, so let's codify it, and put it in front of the voters in a way that can't be ignored. Spend most of the GOP money in the bank advertising it, promote it on TV, radio, and the web. Have legislators and candidates, including McCain, sign it, so that voters know that the legislators who sign this contract are committed to actually doing something about energy prices, while those who have not are committed to dreaming. Properly framed and promoted, this could be the major question in the voting booth this fall: "Which one of these candidates supports the Free America Energy Plan?"

It seems only fair to allow Democrat politicians on board, but let's get on with it already, GOP, the longer you wait, the more of them will be standing in line to clamor about how they've been for drilling all along. Their idiots at the top are all off in lala land, so let's get on with this now while a crystal clear distinction can still be made. If not, we can count on this still being a significant issue in November outside of the looniest districts, but then, the general Democrat line will be, "I had some environmental concerns, but after visiting blah blah blah, I'm convinced that we can do this in an environmentally friendly way. Of course the only way to make sure the drilling we all want happens in a 'smart' and 'responsible' way is to elect more Democrats."

GOP, if you can't recognize a gift horse when it is served up on a silver platter, you are a precursor to something; your will is no longer sufficient to carry you for long in this brave new world. If roles were reversed, and the Democrats could make hay by advocating something the vast majority of Americans actually wants, we'd be wallowing in hay. GOP: Whatever else you are doing can WAIT. This is the most important thing on the itinerarty; it is the itinerary for all intents and purposes.

Is it possible that this simple idea has not occurred to the powers that be in the GOP? Not likely. So what explains the lack of action on it? Don't bother explaining, GOP, just act. Don't tell us about legislation being drawn up in the house and senate, do this first, then propose the legislation. Can't get everyone together in a big room for long enough to hammer this out? Then put your top guys on it and have them ride herd on the rest of the GOP, and make sure every GOP challenger signs on. It's go time; the light is green.

TOTA


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Just 2% of US open to drilling

Reid's latest screed about drilling boasts that 106,000 square miles, a total area about the size of Colorado, is currently open to exploration and drilling and is not being drilled. Reid is implying that this is a huge area, but consider a map of the US and the outer continental shelf (OCS) provided by the Dept of the Interior.

Reid of course refers to the now famous "68 million acres not being drilled". Reid notes that only 24 million leased acres are in production. His argument is that oil companies are sitting on fat deposits they simply refuse to exploit. Greedy beyond words in every other conceivable way, big oil must be waiting until the last minute to develop this 68 million oil rich acres, hoping that Haliburton will drive prices higher first, or whatever nut-jobbery is in fashion around the Reid asylum on any given day. The truth is that companies are drilling where it is profitable to do so.

But back to the map. Montana has the square mile area (145,000) closest to the total of leased square miles (130,000). For those waiting for the short bus, Montana is the big one at the top, with the Nixon profile. So Montana is larger than all of the controlled territory that our benevolent congress has allowed energy companies to explore. I would guess from eyeballing the map that it's less than 2% of the total land mass under our control, a pittance.  Humans occupy a tiny percentage of the country, let's open the rest up. We can reclaim land, and priority for new wildlife refuges can be given to resource-poor areas. We're going to plumb all of these resources eventually anyway, we might as well send as clear a signal to the world as we can: America is back, we still have will.

Reid's essential dishonesty is also on display in his missive, it should be read with caution. For example, his arguments about the bulk of oil on the OCS already being open to leasing and drilling are misleading to say the least. He speaks of technically recoverable oil - oil already found. But much of the OCS has never been explored, we have no idea how much is there, for certain. The map above estimates that on the OCS alone, there are 86 billion barrels of unmapped recoverable oil as of 2006. Note that the same bureau's 2003 estimate was 76 billion barrels.
The more we know about the OCS, the more resource rich it looks to be, particularly for oil. In the three years between these Dept. of the Interior estimates, the oil estimate went up by 13%, the gas estimate by 3%.

Mr Reid and his cohorts face a mounting public firestorm. This question has been front and center for some time now, and they stubbornly cling to their juvenile worldview. This nation consumes 20 million barrels of oil a day, nearly 3 gallons per person. Day in, day out. 14 million of those barrels are imported. Americans simply will not tolerate ongoing risk of financial ruin because Harry Reid thinks oil and coal are dirty. He and his ilk are literally holding the entire planet hostage - as the US goes economically, so goes the world. If they don't budge, they threaten the entire world's economy. Food riots are already commonplace in the developing world.
It would be bad enough if this myopia were occurring in isolation. The fact that it is happening alongside the chaos in the middle east and the credit crisis makes it unforgivable.

TOTA


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